Eyes Turn to Difficult-to-Predict Hurricane Jose

Caicos before Irma

Once a major Category 4 hurricane following in the path of its bigger sister, Irma, Jose is now a Category 2 storm with winds of 105 miles per hour. A northwest motion is expected to continue today.

Hurricane Jose is heading east at 5 mph about 450 miles north-northeast of Grand Turk Island, as of the 11 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center. While it's going around in circles for the time being, Hurricane Jose is later expected to make its way up towards the nearby coast to make a landfall.

As Hurricane Irma dissipates into a tropical depression, forecasters are keeping an eye on yet another storm: Hurricane Jose.

Jose's future after Friday is where it gets complicated.

A complicated high-altitude environment over the Atlantic Ocean is what is causing Jose to wobble around the Atlantic. There is generally not a dominant weather feature that is steering the storm, so model forecasts can vary widely between each other and from run to run.

Unable to move to the north, and restricted from moving to the east by a developing upper level high pressure, Jose should have no choice but to meander for a few days in between Bermuda and the Southeast U.S.

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However, most computer models indicate Jose will stay out to sea and complete a tight enough loop to avoid moving onshore.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect for Jose, the center said. "The official forecast keeps it out over the Atlantic as a hurricane over the next five days".

However, many forecasters anticipate that later this week Jose will move west-northwest toward the Bahamas, which is now in the five-day cone of uncertainty, and potentially, South Florida.

Where does Jose end up?

On the forecast track, the center of Jose will remain well to the east-northeast of the Bahamas through Wednesday.

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